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Nj\u00eb dim\u00ebr ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht sfidues n\u00eb Mbret\u00ebrin\u00eb e Bashkuar mund t\u00eb sjell\u00eb nj\u00eb val\u00eb t\u00eb dyt\u00eb infeksionesh nga koronavirusi, q\u00eb mund t\u00eb rezultoj\u00eb n\u00eb afro 120 mij\u00eb t\u00eb vdekur n\u00eb spitale \u2013 dy her\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se sa vala e par\u00eb \u2013 sipas nj\u00eb vler\u00ebsimi, t\u00eb nj\u00eb skenari t\u00eb arsyesh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n
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N\u00ebse masat e izolimit vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb leht\u00ebsohen, numri mesatar i njer\u00ebzve q\u00eb mund t\u00eb infektoj\u00eb nj\u00eb person q\u00eb e ka virusin, i njohur si numri R, mund t\u00eb rritet n\u00eb Mbret\u00ebrin\u00eb e Bashkuar nga vlera aktuale 0.7-0.9, dhe t\u00eb shkoj\u00eb 1.7 n\u00eb shtator, thon\u00eb shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt q\u00eb kan\u00eb hartuar nj\u00eb raport. Kjo gj\u00eb mund t\u00eb \u00e7oj\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb val\u00eb t\u00eb dyt\u00eb, e cila do ta ket\u00eb kulmin n\u00eb janar apo shkurt t\u00eb vitit tjet\u00ebr.<\/p>\n
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\u201cNj\u00eb kulm i infeksioneve t\u00eb koronavirusit gjat\u00eb dimrit mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb m\u00eb i r\u00ebnd\u00eb, sesa ai q\u00eb sapo kemi kaluar,\u201d tha kreu i raportit Stephen Holgate n\u00eb Universitetin e Southampton, MB, n\u00eb nj\u00eb konferenc\u00eb p\u00ebr shtyp. \u201cNe po parashikojm\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb keqen, q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb e mira q\u00eb mund t\u00eb b\u00ebjm\u00eb\u201d.<\/p>\n
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Raporti, i k\u00ebrkuar kryeshkenc\u00ebtari i qeveris\u00eb s\u00eb MB, u realizua nga Akademia e Shkencave Mjek\u00ebsore n\u00eb Mbret\u00ebrin\u00eb e Bashkuar. Ai vler\u00ebsonte se \u00e7far\u00eb mund t\u00eb ndodhte n\u00ebse njer\u00ebzit do t\u00eb ktheheshin n\u00eb nj\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb tipike t\u00eb jet\u00ebs dhe nuk merrte parasysh p\u00ebrdorimin e ila\u00e7eve t\u00eb reja ose nj\u00eb vaksin\u00eb.<\/p>\n
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Ekipi merr n\u00eb konsiderat\u00eb ndikimin e njohur t\u00eb covid-19 n\u00eb burimet e kujdesit sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsor, duke ia shtuar atyre t\u00eb gripit dhe infeksioneve t\u00eb tjera stinore. N\u00eb \u00e7do vit, vdekjet n\u00eb Mbret\u00ebrin\u00eb e Bashkuar rriten n\u00eb dim\u00ebr, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb efekteve t\u00eb motit t\u00eb ftoht\u00eb dhe ndikimit t\u00eb viruseve stinor\u00eb, si ai q\u00eb shkakton gripin. Njer\u00ebzit kan\u00eb tendenc\u00eb t\u00eb q\u00ebndrojn\u00eb n\u00eb ambiente t\u00eb mbyllura me dritaret mbyllur, duke siguruar k\u00ebshtu kushte ideale p\u00ebr p\u00ebrhapjen e infeksioneve.<\/p>\n
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Skenari m\u00eb i keq do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshinte nj\u00eb dim\u00ebr jasht\u00ebzakonisht t\u00eb ftoht\u00eb dhe nj\u00eb epidemi gripi, shtuar k\u00ebto problemeve me t\u00eb kujdesit rutin\u00eb dhe kirurgjive t\u00eb planifikuara, q\u00eb tashm\u00eb jan\u00eb shtyr\u00eb si rezultat i shp\u00ebrthimit t\u00eb koronavirusit. N\u00ebse do t\u00eb ndodhte, rreth 119.900 vdekje n\u00eb spitale, t\u00eb shkaktuara nga covid-19 mund t\u00eb regjistroheshin n\u00eb MB gjat\u00eb dimrit \u2013 m\u00eb shum\u00eb se dyfishi i val\u00ebs s\u00eb par\u00eb, sipas raportit. Shifra \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb vler\u00ebsim, dhe mund t\u00eb q\u00ebndroj\u00eb diku midis 24.500 dhe 251,000, sipas autor\u00ebve. Ajo gjithashtu nuk p\u00ebrfshin vdekje jasht\u00eb spitaleve, si\u00e7 jan\u00eb azilet.<\/p>\n
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Shifra nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb parashikim dhe Mbret\u00ebria e Bashkuar ka nj\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00eb tre-mujore t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme p\u00ebr t\u00eb shmangur k\u00ebt\u00eb skenar, thon\u00eb autor\u00ebt.<\/p>\n
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Nj\u00eb qasje e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme do t\u00eb ishte kufizimi i ndikimit t\u00eb gripit stinor. \u201cNe nuk e dim\u00eb se si covid-19 do t\u00eb bashk\u00ebveproj\u00eb me gripin,\u201d thot\u00eb bashkautorja e raportit Anne Johnson n\u00eb University College London. Nj\u00eb furnizim i mjaftuesh\u00ebm me vaksina kund\u00ebr gripit do t\u00eb jet\u00eb jetik n\u00eb vjesht\u00eb, thot\u00eb ajo. Ata q\u00eb jan\u00eb t\u00eb preksh\u00ebm ndaj gripit, njer\u00ebzit q\u00eb punojn\u00eb n\u00eb kujdesin sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsor dhe f\u00ebmij\u00ebt e shkollave duhet t\u00eb ken\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb vaksin\u00ebn.<\/p>\n
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Skemat e testimit, gjurmimit dhe izolimit do t\u00eb duhet fuqizohen, sipas raportit, i cili gjithashtu rekomandon testimin e p\u00ebrhapur p\u00ebr gripin, me q\u00ebllim q\u00eb njer\u00ebzit t\u00eb din\u00eb se cilin virus kan\u00eb.<\/p>\n
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\u00c7do p\u00ebrpjekje p\u00ebr t\u00eb kufizuar ndikimin e koronavirusit duhet t\u00eb prioritizoj\u00eb ata q\u00eb jan\u00eb me rrezik m\u00eb t\u00eb madh se mos s\u00ebmuren r\u00ebnd\u00eb apo vdesin, sipas autor\u00ebve.<\/p>\n
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N\u00ebse masat kufizojn\u00eb me sukses numrin R n\u00eb 1.1, rezultati do t\u00eb ishte shum\u00eb i ndrysh\u00ebm. \u201cKa shum\u00eb koh\u00eb p\u00ebr ta b\u00ebr\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb\u201d, thot\u00eb Johnson. \u201cKoha p\u00ebr veprim \u00ebsht\u00eb tani\u201d. Bota.al<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Nj\u00eb dim\u00ebr ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht sfidues n\u00eb Mbret\u00ebrin\u00eb e Bashkuar mund t\u00eb sjell\u00eb nj\u00eb val\u00eb t\u00eb dyt\u00eb infeksionesh nga koronavirusi, q\u00eb mund t\u00eb rezultoj\u00eb n\u00eb afro 120…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":34403,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14,5],"tags":[2499],"class_list":["post-34402","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bota","category-lajme","tag-acar-dhe-pandemi-pergatituni-qe-tani-per-dimrin","wpcat-14-id","wpcat-5-id"],"yoast_head":"\n