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Organizata e Kombeve t\u00eb Bashkuara n\u00eb statistikat e saj p\u00ebr Divizionin e Popullsis\u00eb vler\u00ebson se q\u00eb nga viti 1990 deri n\u00eb 2020-n, nga Shqip\u00ebria jan\u00eb larguar rreth 1.2 milion\u00eb persona. B\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr migracionin neto, q\u00eb p\u00ebrfshin diferenc\u00ebn mes personave q\u00eb kthehen dhe atyre q\u00eb largohen. Vala m\u00eb e lart\u00eb e migracionit ishte n\u00eb periudh\u00ebn 1990-1995, kur kalimi nga ekonomia e centralizuar n\u00eb at\u00eb t\u00eb tregut dhe hapja e kufijve, b\u00ebri q\u00eb shum\u00eb shqiptar\u00eb t\u00eb largoheshin masivisht, p\u00ebrmes ambasadave, apo dhe anijeve. Gjat\u00eb k\u00ebsaj periudhe kan\u00eb ikur 443 mij\u00eb emigrant\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Tendenca vijoi dhe n\u00eb 1995-2000, e nxitur nga trazirat e \u201997-s. Gjat\u00eb k\u00ebsaj periudhe u larguan 180 mij\u00eb persona. Pothuajse n\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtat nivele ishte tendenca e largimeve n\u00eb pes\u00ebvje\u00e7arin e ardhsh\u00ebm. N\u00eb periudh\u00ebn 2005-2010 u konstatua s\u00ebrish nj\u00eb val\u00eb e rritur migracioni, me 217 mij\u00eb t\u00eb larguar. N\u00cb 2010-2015, nga vendi u larguan 137 mij\u00eb persona. N\u00eb pes\u00eb vitet e fundit, tendenca p\u00ebr t\u00eb ikur nga vendi ka vijuar, ndon\u00ebse me ritmet m\u00eb t\u00eb ngadalta n\u00eb 30 vitet e tranzicionit. Divizioni i popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb OKB-s\u00eb ka b\u00ebr\u00eb dhe parashikimet p\u00ebr migracionin e pritsh\u00ebm n\u00eb dekadat e ardhshme. Sipas statistikave t\u00eb publikuara, t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn edhe p\u00ebr pes\u00eb vitet e ardhshme 2020-2025, ikja do t\u00eb vijoj\u00eb t\u00eb jet\u00eb me ritme t\u00eb larta, me rreth 70 mij\u00eb persona t\u00eb larguar neto. N\u00eb 2025-2030, priten 55 mij\u00eb t\u00eb larguar, p\u00ebr t\u00eb vazhduar m\u00eb pak n\u00eb 5 vje\u00e7ar\u00ebt n\u00eb vijim me 40 mij\u00eb t\u00eb ikur mesatarisht.<\/p>\n
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Si rrjedhoj\u00eb, deri n\u00eb vitin 2100, OKB parashikon se nga Shqip\u00ebria do t\u00eb largohen edhe 615 mij\u00eb persona t\u00eb tjer\u00eb.<\/p>\n
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Tendenca e lart\u00eb p\u00ebr emigracion dhe ulja e lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb kan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb q\u00eb OKB t\u00eb rishikoj\u00eb vazhdimisht n\u00eb ulje projeksionet p\u00ebr ecurin\u00eb e popullsis\u00eb. Sipas vler\u00ebsimit t\u00eb fundit, q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2019, n\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha rastet, edhe n\u00eb variantin optimist, \u2013 pra n\u00ebse merret nj\u00eb nivel zero emigracioni dhe ecuri normale e normave t\u00eb fertilitetit-, n\u00eb vitin 2100, Shqip\u00ebria nuk pritet q\u00eb t\u00eb ket\u00eb me shum\u00eb se 1.9 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb.<\/p>\n
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N\u00eb variantin e mes\u00ebm, Shqip\u00ebria nuk pritet t\u00eb ket\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 1 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb.<\/p>\n
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P\u00ebr skenarin e ul\u00ebt (norm\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb emigracionit dhe fertilitet t\u00eb ul\u00ebt), n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri n\u00eb vitin 2100, sipas pritshm\u00ebrive t\u00eb departamentit t\u00eb Divizionit t\u00eb Popullsis\u00eb t\u00eb OKB-s\u00eb, n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri nuk pritet q\u00eb t\u00eb mbeten m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 512 mij\u00eb banor\u00eb. \/Monitor<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Organizata e Kombeve t\u00eb Bashkuara n\u00eb statistikat e saj p\u00ebr Divizionin e Popullsis\u00eb vler\u00ebson se q\u00eb nga viti 1990 deri n\u00eb 2020-n, nga Shqip\u00ebria jan\u00eb…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":34589,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12,5],"tags":[2593,2592],"class_list":["post-34588","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-lajme","tag-ja-sa-pritet-te-largohen-ne-dekadat-e-ardhshme","tag-okb-nga-shqiperia-kane-ikur-1-2-mln-persona-gjate-1990-2020","wpcat-12-id","wpcat-5-id"],"yoast_head":"\n