Euro u forcua p\u00ebrs\u00ebri me ritme t\u00eb shpejta n\u00eb kursin e k\u00ebmbimit me lekun dit\u00ebn e sotme. Sipas kursit zyrtar t\u00eb Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, monedha europiane u k\u00ebmbye me 127.08 lek\u00eb, n\u00eb rritje me 2.5 pik\u00eb krahasuar me dit\u00ebn e h\u00ebn\u00eb. N\u00eb harkun e nj\u00eb jav\u00eb, euro \u00ebsht\u00eb mbi\u00e7muar me 4.7% ndaj lekut dhe ka sh\u00ebnuar nj\u00eb rekord t\u00eb ri p\u00ebr dy vitet e fundit. Tendenca e forcimit t\u00eb euros \u00ebsht\u00eb e ngjashme me at\u00eb q\u00eb u sh\u00ebnua n\u00eb fund t\u00eb marsit 2020. N\u00eb at\u00eb rast faktori q\u00eb nxiti zhvler\u00ebsimin e monedh\u00ebs vendase kishte qen\u00eb pandemia, nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb rast shtysa ka qen\u00eb lufta n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb dhe pasojat e r\u00ebnda q\u00eb ajo po sjell n\u00eb tregjet e l\u00ebnd\u00ebve t\u00eb para.<\/p>\n
Shtrenjtimi i naft\u00ebs, energjis\u00eb dhe produkteve ushqimore po ndjehet edhe n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, i p\u00ebrkthyer n\u00eb shtrenjtim t\u00eb importit t\u00eb tyre, por edhe nj\u00eb lloj nxitimi p\u00ebr t\u00eb krijuar rezerva, duke marr\u00eb n\u00eb konsiderat\u00eb periudh\u00ebn e trazuar ku ndodhen tregjet dhe pritshm\u00ebrit\u00eb pesimiste p\u00ebr t\u00eb ardhmen. Ekspert\u00ebt mendojn\u00eb se tregu i k\u00ebmbimeve valutore \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb tashm\u00eb edhe nga nj\u00eb lloj paniku, q\u00eb po nxit m\u00eb tej k\u00ebrkes\u00ebn p\u00ebr t\u00eb bler\u00eb euro, pik\u00ebrisht p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb forcimit t\u00eb shpejt\u00eb t\u00eb valut\u00ebs europiane.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb mbi\u00e7mim i shpejt\u00eb i euros p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebson nj\u00eb faktor shtes\u00eb rreziku n\u00eb raport me inflacionin n\u00eb rritje q\u00eb po godet ekonomin\u00eb. Duke qen\u00eb se Shqip\u00ebria i importon shumic\u00ebn e mallrave t\u00eb konsumit dhe duke qen\u00eb se euro \u00ebsht\u00eb monedha kryesore n\u00eb t\u00eb cil\u00ebn blihen k\u00ebto mallra, nj\u00eb n\u00ebn\u00e7mim i lekut kundrejt saj do t\u00eb prodhoj\u00eb nj\u00eb efekt inflacionist shtes\u00eb n\u00eb ekonomi. Deri para dy jav\u00ebsh, Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb i q\u00ebndronte projeksionit baz\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb inflacion kalimtar q\u00eb do t\u00eb fillohej t\u00eb zbehej n\u00eb gjysm\u00ebn e dyt\u00eb t\u00eb k\u00ebtij viti. Lufta n\u00eb Europ\u00ebn Lindore e ka b\u00ebr\u00eb tashm\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb madh rrezikun inflacionist dhe pasigurin\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb ardhmen.<\/p>\n
Ekonomia shqiptare ka nj\u00eb pozicion t\u00eb jasht\u00ebm deficitar n\u00eb mallra dhe sh\u00ebrbime, ndaj n\u00eb terma neto nj\u00eb n\u00ebn\u00e7mim i monedh\u00ebs prodhon efekt negativ, t\u00eb shprehur n\u00eb zgjerimin e deficitit t\u00eb llogaris\u00eb korrente. Importuesit kan\u00eb kosto m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha t\u00eb blerjes s\u00eb mallrave dhe sh\u00ebrbimeve jasht\u00eb vendit, nd\u00ebrsa p\u00ebrfitues jan\u00eb eksportuesit e mallrave dhe sh\u00ebrbimeve, q\u00eb shesin n\u00eb euro, por q\u00eb i kan\u00eb shumic\u00ebn e shpenzimeve n\u00eb lek\u00eb. Sidoqoft\u00eb, edhe p\u00ebr ato subjekte q\u00eb kan\u00eb t\u00eb ardhura n\u00eb euro, p\u00ebrfitimi \u00ebsht\u00eb marxhinal, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb efektit inflacionist shtes\u00eb q\u00eb sjell nj\u00eb mbi\u00e7mim i shpejt\u00eb i monedh\u00ebs europiane.<\/p>\n
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Nga ana tjet\u00ebr, nj\u00eb forcim i shpejt\u00eb i euros mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb burim rreziqesh edhe p\u00ebr sektorin financiar, ku nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e mir\u00eb e kredis\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e ekspozuar ndaj rrezikut t\u00eb kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit. Sipas Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb af\u00ebrsisht gjysma e portofolit t\u00eb kredis\u00eb p\u00ebr ekonomin\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb valut\u00eb t\u00eb huaj, nd\u00ebrsa 37% e kredis\u00eb n\u00eb valut\u00eb (m\u00eb pak se 20% e kredis\u00eb totale) \u00ebsht\u00eb e ekspozuar ndaj rrezikut t\u00eb kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit. Huamarr\u00ebsit n\u00eb euro me t\u00eb ardhura n\u00eb lek\u00eb jan\u00eb ata q\u00eb humbasin shum\u00eb nga forcimi i euros, nd\u00ebrsa p\u00ebrfitime n\u00eb pamje t\u00eb par\u00eb kan\u00eb individ\u00ebt dhe subjektet q\u00eb kan\u00eb kursime n\u00eb euro. Sidoqoft\u00eb, edhe ky p\u00ebrfitim mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb relativ, sepse, ve\u00e7 efektit inflacionist t\u00eb zhvler\u00ebsimit t\u00eb kursit, shumica e aseteve me vler\u00eb t\u00eb madhe n\u00eb ekonomi kuotohen n\u00eb euro dhe jo n\u00eb lek\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Implikimet e luhatjeve t\u00eb forta t\u00eb kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit n\u00eb inflacion dhe n\u00eb stabilitetin financiar jan\u00eb situata q\u00eb mund t\u00eb justifikojn\u00eb nj\u00eb nd\u00ebrhyrje t\u00eb Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb tregun valutor. Nd\u00ebrhyrja e fundit e k\u00ebtij lloji ndodhi dy vjet m\u00eb par\u00eb, n\u00eb fund t\u00eb marsit 2020, kur nj\u00eb panik i ngjash\u00ebm pati sjell\u00eb zhvler\u00ebsim t\u00eb shpejt\u00eb t\u00eb lekut n\u00eb kursin e k\u00ebmbimit me euron, me rreth 6.5% n\u00eb harkun e 10 dit\u00ebve.<\/p>\n
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Euro u forcua p\u00ebrs\u00ebri me ritme t\u00eb shpejta n\u00eb kursin e k\u00ebmbimit me lekun dit\u00ebn e sotme. Sipas kursit zyrtar t\u00eb Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, monedha…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":56660,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-56659","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lajme","wpcat-5-id"],"yoast_head":"\n